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According to statistics from the Japan Soda Industry Association, the domestic demand for soda ash in Japan fell from 870,000 tons/year in 2005 to 810,000 tons/year in 2006, a year-on-year decrease of 6.6%. This is the third consecutive year since 2003. The decrease in demand was due to the large number of PET bottles replacing glass bottles, and the widespread use of TVs with liquid crystal displays (LCDs) and plasma display panels instead of electronic tubes (CRTs).
At the same time, Japan’s soda supply composition has also changed: In 2006, the output of soda ash in Japan increased from 448,000 tons/year in 2005 to 441,000 tons/year, a year-on-year increase of 6.6%; while imports from 2005 were 430,000. Ton/year fell to 370,000 tons/year, a year-on-year decrease of 13.8%. In 2005, the amount of soda ash imported into Japan decreased from the domestic output in the past to the level slightly lower than the domestic output for the first time, and the sources of imports into Japan were mainly the United States and China. In 2006, Japan imported about 260,000 tons of natural soda ash from the United States, and imported about 100,000 tons of soda ash from China. The amount of imported soya ash decreased by more than 10% year-on-year. As a result, Japan's soda ash stock fell to less than 30,000 tons by the end of 2006, which may cause supply. shortage.
At present, the world's total production capacity of soda has reached 45 million tons / year, of which 30 million tons / year synthetic method, natural alkali processing method 15 million tons / year. In 2005, the global production of soda ash was approximately 40 million tons, and the operating rate was approximately 89%. The major producers of soda ash are the United States, China, Russia, India, Germany, Ukraine, France, the United Kingdom, and Italy. In 2006, China's soda ash production capacity exceeded that of the United States, breaking the 10 million-ton mark, and the products were mainly exported to Japan. However, due to the increase in domestic demand, China’s export capacity has declined in recent years.
Due to the reduction in the imports of soda ash, the stock of soda ash in Japan has fallen to less than 30,000 tons by the end of 2006, and the Japanese soda ash market is facing a supply shortage. At present, soda ash producers in Japan are producing at full capacity to maintain a balance between supply and demand in the market. However, due to the tight global supply of soda ash and rising prices, some traders believe that in order to ensure a stable supply of the Japanese market, it is necessary to import soda ash from China, the United States, and other countries.
December 25, 2022